Australia CupAustralia Cup
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Rochedale Rovers

Rochedale Rovers

Home
L
12
Full time
SD Raiders

SD Raiders

Away
W
Underwood Park
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Rochedale Rovers(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: SD Raiders
Win probability
Rochedale Rovers
37%
Draw
35%
SD Raiders
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rochedale Rovers
34
SD Raiders
73
Defence
Rochedale Rovers
27
SD Raiders
66
Momentum
Rochedale Rovers
0
SD Raiders
100
Danger (xG)
Rochedale Rovers
0.90
SD Raiders
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Rochedale Rovers)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (SD Raiders)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Rochedale Rovers)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (SD Raiders)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers
LLW
SD RaidersSD Raiders
WLD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Rochedale Rovers37%
Draw35%
SD Raiders28%

Rochedale Rovers leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rochedale Rovers head into this in Australia Cup fixture at Underwood Park in mixed form (L), while SD Raiders arrive in mixed form (W). Rochedale Rovers have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for SD Raiders over 1 games.

Tactically, SD Raiders hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Rochedale Rovers defence (27/100), while Rochedale Rovers's attack faces a solid SD Raiders backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Rochedale Rovers have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. SD Raiders have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

SD Raiders have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Rochedale Rovers to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Rochedale Rovers 3676%, Draw 3500%, SD Raiders 2824%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Rochedale Rovers 0Draws 01 SD Raiders
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Rochedale Rovers
L12
SD Raiders

Recent form

Rochedale Rovers

Rochedale Rovers

L
vs SD Raiders
14 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Brisbane Roar II
10 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Magic United
16 May 2026
40
SD Raiders

SD Raiders

W
@ Rochedale Rovers
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Sydney FC U23
30 Jun 2026
01
D
vs Sutherland Sharks
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?

GoalVio's model predicts Rochedale Rovers to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rochedale Rovers vs SD Raiders?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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