GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/26/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Rochedale Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

8.3%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rochedale RoversLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast KnightsWWWLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rochedale RoversGold Coast Knights
51.5Attack69.7
21.2Defence51.5
31.8Form57.6
36.5Power58.9
1.54xG3.28
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