Rochdalevs
Ebbsfleet United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rochdale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rochdale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rochdale hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the National League, while Rochdale holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rochdale
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Rochdale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60