GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rochdale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rochdale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rochdale hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the National League, while Rochdale holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rochdale

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Rochdale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RochdaleWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ebbsfleet UnitedLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RochdaleEbbsfleet United
50.0Attack42.8
53.6Defence46.4
44.9Form39.1
51.1Power43.9
1.78xG1.08
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