Roasso Kumamotovs
Nara Club
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 Nara Club
Original prediction
Roasso Kumamoto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 47.4% | 45.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.4% | 28.0% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Roasso Kumamoto
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40