Roasso Kumamotovs
Matsumoto Yamaga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Original prediction
Roasso Kumamoto
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.6% | 46.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 28.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.2% | 25.1% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Roasso Kumamoto 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Roasso Kumamoto
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80