Roasso Kumamotovs
Gainare Tottori
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 Gainare Tottori, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 Gainare Tottori
Original prediction
Roasso Kumamoto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.7% | 55.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 27.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.4% | 17.7% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Roasso Kumamoto 1–0 Gainare Tottori
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Roasso Kumamoto
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00