Roasso Kumamotovs
Ehime FC
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Ehime FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 Ehime FC
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.5% | 24.0% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.1% | 28.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.4% | 47.5% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Ehime FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Roasso KumamotoDLWDW
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ehime FCWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Roasso KumamotoEhime FC
25.9Attack81.5
85.2Defence63.0
51.9Form74.1
56.9Power72.8
0.65xG1.21