Roan Unitedvs
Green Buffaloes
COMPLETEDZambia · Super League · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roan United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roan United 0-0 Green Buffaloes
Original prediction
Roan United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 37.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.1% | 31.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.4% | 31.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Roan United
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Roan United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80