Ørn Hortenvs
Sarpsborg 08 II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ørn Horten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ørn Horten 3-4 Sarpsborg 08 II
Original prediction
Ørn Horten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 54.9% | 61.6% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.4% | 16.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.6% | 21.8% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Ørn Horten
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Ørn Horten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 18 · GA 10 · avg 3.60/2.00