Ørn Hortenvs
Råde
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Råde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ørn Horten 1-0 Råde
Original prediction
Råde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.06 | 22.2% | 28.5% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.4% | 19.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.3% | 52.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Råde
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Råde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ørn HortenLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RådeWWDLD
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ørn HortenRåde
62.5Attack100.0
45.8Defence44.4
48.6Form63.9
52.5Power63.2
2.30xG3.07