Ørn Hortenvs
Lillehammer
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillehammer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ørn Horten 0-1 Lillehammer
Original prediction
Lillehammer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.63 | 19.5% | 25.4% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.3% | 18.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.2% | 55.9% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Lillehammer
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Lillehammer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 20 · GA 7 · avg 4.00/1.40