RKAV Volendamvs
Sparta Rotterdam II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RKAV Volendam 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam II
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 41.9% | 38.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.1% | 19.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.1% | 42.4% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00