GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hoek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RKAV Volendam 2-1 Hoek

Original prediction

Hoek

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8831.4%33.1%1.7 pts
Draw3.7024.4%25.6%1.3 pts
Away2.0444.3%41.3%-3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Hoek

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Hoek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RKAV VolendamDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HoekLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RKAV VolendamHoek
33.3Attack44.4
22.2Defence55.6
44.4Form44.4
36.4Power49.5
1.46xG1.69
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