GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RKAV Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RKAV Volendam 1-1 Barendrecht

Original prediction

RKAV Volendam

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0643.7%39.6%-4.1 pts
Draw3.7324.1%24.8%0.6 pts
Away2.8032.1%35.6%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

RKAV Volendam

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

RKAV Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RKAV VolendamDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BarendrechtDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RKAV VolendamBarendrecht
40.0Attack46.7
40.0Defence46.7
53.3Form46.7
46.8Power48.8
1.57xG1.52
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