GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RKAV Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RKAV Volendam 1-4 Almere City II

Original prediction

RKAV Volendam

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1941.5%45.8%4.3 pts
Draw3.9023.3%22.2%-1.1 pts
Away2.5835.3%32.1%-3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

RKAV Volendam

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

RKAV Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RKAV VolendamLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Almere City IILDLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RKAV VolendamAlmere City II
42.9Attack52.4
38.1Defence23.8
42.9Form19.0
43.5Power32.3
2.13xG1.64
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