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Žďár nad Sázavou
AwayThe model projects 3.68 xG for Ráječko and 1.00 xG for Žďár nad Sázavou. Žďár nad Sázavou's projected xG of 1.00 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 3-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. The xG distribution suggests Ráječko will score, but Žďár nad Sázavou's attacking output falls below the threshold the model requires to project both teams scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 4.67 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 3-0 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesŽďár nad SázavouProbability breakdown
Ráječko leads with 65% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Ráječko Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Ráječko host Žďár nad Sázavou in Cup. Ráječko have recorded DW in recent matches while Žďár nad Sázavou arrive with a run of LLLLLL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Ráječko are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.68 projected against 1.00 for Žďár nad Sázavou. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 2.68 is the clearest signal in the model that Ráječko are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Ráječko's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Žďár nad Sázavou defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Ráječko fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠Ráječko have been conceding 1.92 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
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Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ráječko vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
GoalVio's model predicts Ráječko to win with 65% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Ráječko vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Ráječko vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ráječko vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.