Rizhao Yuqivs
Yichun Grand Tiger
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rizhao Yuqi 0-0 Yichun Grand Tiger, with an exact score probability of 44%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rizhao Yuqi 2-0 Yichun Grand Tiger
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.1% | 38.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 32.8% | 41.0% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.1% | 20.8% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Projected Score
Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Yichun Grand Tiger
Exact score probability: 44%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rizhao YuqiWLDWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yichun Grand TigerWWDDL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Rizhao YuqiYichun Grand Tiger
21.7Attack23.2
75.4Defence66.7
42.0Form36.2
49.2Power44.5
0.53xG0.32