Rizhao Yuqivs
Guangzhou Dandelion
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/17/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rizhao Yuqi 0-0 Guangzhou Dandelion, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rizhao Yuqi 0-0 Guangzhou Dandelion
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.6% | 38.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.4% | 36.0% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.0% | 25.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangzhou Dandelion
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rizhao YuqiLLWWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guangzhou DandelionWDLLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rizhao YuqiGuangzhou Dandelion
23.1Attack34.6
73.1Defence57.7
41.0Form37.2
48.3Power45.2
0.66xG0.51