Rizhao Yuqivs
Guangdong Mingtu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rizhao Yuqi 0-0 Guangdong Mingtu, with an exact score probability of 42%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rizhao Yuqi 1-2 Guangdong Mingtu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.8% | 34.7% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.9% | 36.0% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.4% | 29.3% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Rizhao Yuqi 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu
Exact score probability: 42%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rizhao YuqiLWWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guangdong MingtuDDWLW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rizhao YuqiGuangdong Mingtu
22.7Attack32.0
74.7Defence72.0
42.7Form41.3
49.3Power50.4
0.43xG0.44