Rizesporvs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahçe
Original prediction
Fenerbahçe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.53 | 20.7% | 27.5% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.7% | 26.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 55.6% | 45.6% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60