GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 9/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rizespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rizespor 0-1 Alanyaspor

Original prediction

Rizespor

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8451.0%42.7%-8.3 pts
Draw3.4327.4%28.4%1.0 pts
Away4.3521.6%28.9%7.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Rizespor

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Rizespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RizesporWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlanyasporLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RizesporAlanyaspor
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form44.4
58.8Power51.1
1.29xG1.03
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