GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/19/2023, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rizespor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rizespor are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Alanyaspor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizespor hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Süper Lig, while Rizespor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rizespor

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Rizespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RizesporLDDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
AlanyasporWDDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RizesporAlanyaspor
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.55xG1.05
View match centre →