GGOALVIO

Turkey · U19 league · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahce U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Rizespor U19 0-6 Fenerbahce U19

Original prediction

Fenerbahce U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3438.4%29.9%-8.5 pts
Draw3.5325.5%25.8%0.3 pts
Away2.4836.2%44.4%8.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–210%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.1–38%

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahce U19

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Fenerbahce U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rizespor U19LWDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Fenerbahce U19WLLLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Rizespor U19Fenerbahce U19
27.8Attack77.8
38.9Defence44.4
27.8Form50.0
33.8Power56.1
1.31xG2.35
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