GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Riverside are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while South East Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

69.7%

Model confidence

69.7%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLWLWW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
South East Utd.WLLLL

GF 9 · GA 23 · avg 1.80/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RiversideSouth East Utd.
57.4Attack48.1
38.9Defence5.6
44.4Form38.9
46.3Power32.7
3.88xG1.68
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