GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Riverside are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Launceston United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

82.8%

Model confidence

82.8%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston UnitedLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RiversideLaunceston United
57.4Attack31.5
38.9Defence0.0
44.4Form9.3
46.3Power17.5
4.13xG1.05
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