GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/1/2023, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Riverside are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Glenorchy KnightsLW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
RiversideGlenorchy Knights
57.4Attack42.6
38.9Defence38.9
44.4Form31.5
46.3Power39.0
2.49xG1.50
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