GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/15/2023, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Riverside are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Devonport City are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.33/4.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Devonport CityWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
RiversideDevonport City
57.4Attack100.0
38.9Defence64.9
44.4Form80.7
46.3Power78.6
1.27xG3.77
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