GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/3/2024, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

72.9%

Model confidence

72.9%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21LLDWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UlverstoneLWWWL

GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21Ulverstone
46.3Attack98.4
0.0Defence38.1
27.8Form65.1
23.4Power63.4
1.79xG4.50
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