Riverside Olympic U21vsSomerset

Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (24.1 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.