Riverside Olympic U21vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/3/2025, 4:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 9 · avg 4.60/1.80
GF 20 · GA 9 · avg 4.00/1.80