GGOALVIO

Riverside Olympic U21 logoRiverside Olympic U21vsSomerset logoSomerset

COMPLETED

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/6/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21DWLWW

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetWDWWL

GF 22 · GA 9 · avg 4.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21Somerset
46.3Attack74.1
0.0Defence9.3
27.8Form42.6
23.4Power39.4
2.81xG4.43
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