GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/26/2025, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 56.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

83.8%

Model confidence

83.8%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21WLWWL

GF 22 · GA 11 · avg 4.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersWLLWW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Riverside Olympic U21Northern Rangers
46.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence59.3
27.8Form94.4
23.4Power80.0
1.14xG4.50
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