GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/29/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Lowconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

6.6%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21LLLWL

GF 5 · GA 22 · avg 1.00/4.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Burnie Utd.LLLWL

GF 13 · GA 23 · avg 2.60/4.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Riverside Olympic U21Burnie Utd.
46.3Attack80.7
0.0Defence0.0
27.8Form29.8
23.4Power32.9
3.04xG4.50
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