GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/16/2025, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21WLWWL

GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.WLLLL

GF 15 · GA 25 · avg 3.00/5.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21Burnie Utd.
46.3Attack80.7
0.0Defence0.0
27.8Form29.8
23.4Power32.9
3.04xG4.50
View match centre →