GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/12/2025, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 5.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21LWWLW

GF 23 · GA 8 · avg 4.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.LLLLD

GF 8 · GA 28 · avg 1.60/5.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Riverside Olympic U21Burnie Utd.
46.3Attack80.7
0.0Defence0.0
27.8Form29.8
23.4Power32.9
3.04xG4.50
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