GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/11/2024, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21DWWLL

GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.LLWLL

GF 6 · GA 23 · avg 1.20/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21Burnie Utd.
46.3Attack80.7
0.0Defence0.0
27.8Form29.8
23.4Power32.9
3.04xG4.50
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