Rivers Unitedvs
Plateau United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rivers United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rivers United 2-0 Plateau United
Original prediction
Rivers United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.1% | 43.8% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 27.8% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 6.35 | 14.3% | 28.4% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Rivers United
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Rivers United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00