Rivers Unitedvs
Kun Khalifat FC
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rivers United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rivers United 5-0 Kun Khalifat FC
Original prediction
Rivers United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 73.3% | 58.9% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.39 | 16.9% | 23.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 9.17 | 9.9% | 18.0% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Rivers United
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Rivers United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80