Rivers Unitedvs
Ikorodu City
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rivers United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rivers United 1-0 Ikorodu City, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rivers United 2-0 Ikorodu City
Original prediction
Rivers United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.4% | 54.0% | -22.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 26.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Away | 15.50 | 5.8% | 19.7% | 13.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.4 pts
Projected Score
Rivers United 1–0 Ikorodu City
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rivers United
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Rivers United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80