Rivers Unitedvs
Barau FC
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rivers United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rivers United 1-0 Barau FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rivers United 0-0 Barau FC
Original prediction
Rivers United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 67.5% | 55.9% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 26.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 10.34 | 8.6% | 17.9% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Rivers United 1–0 Barau FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rivers United
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Rivers United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rivers UnitedDWDDW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barau FCDLDWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rivers UnitedBarau FC
54.2Attack50.0
91.7Defence62.5
66.7Form54.2
69.8Power56.6
1.33xG0.70