GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/15/2026, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

River Plate

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

River PlateWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento JuninDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
River PlateSarmiento Junin
38.9Attack35.0
72.2Defence53.3
50.0Form41.7
54.7Power45.9
1.20xG0.52
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