GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

River Plate are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Fe hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

River Plate

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

14.7%

River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

River PlateLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa FeWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
River PlateSanta Fe
50.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence100.0
77.8Form100.0
72.4Power94.8
1.16xG0.94
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