River Platevs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate 0-0 Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate 1-1 Santa Fe
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 70.8% | 47.0% | -23.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 20.2% | 28.1% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 10.43 | 9.0% | 25.0% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.8 pts
Projected Score
River Plate 0–0 Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
River PlateDDWLL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa FeDDWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
River PlateSanta Fe
42.9Attack55.6
85.7Defence100.0
71.4Form77.8
68.7Power77.5
1.04xG0.81