River Platevs
Racing Club
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/25/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate 1-0 Racing Club, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate 1-0 Racing Club
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 63.4% | 57.9% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.9% | 26.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 6.82 | 13.7% | 15.8% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
River Plate 1–0 Racing Club
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60