River Platevs
Independ. Rivadavia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/6/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate 3-1 Independ. Rivadavia
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.4% | 40.5% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.4% | 29.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.12 | 18.2% | 29.8% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Projected Score
River Plate 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80