River Platevs
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 79.7% | 66.8% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.20 | 15.1% | 22.2% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 18.25 | 5.1% | 11.0% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Projected Score
River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80