River Platevs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
River Plate are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Carabobo FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while River Plate holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40