River Plate Res.vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate Res. 0-0 Vélez Sársfield Res., with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate Res. 1-1 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Original prediction
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.7% | 31.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 28.9% | 31.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.4% | 37.3% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
River Plate Res. 0–0 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20