Reserve LeagueReserve League
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 15:00
River Plate Res.

River Plate Res.

Home
LD
31
Full time
Lanús Res.

Lanús Res.

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
River Plate Res.(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: River Plate Res.
Win probability
River Plate Res.
39%
Draw
29%
Lanús Res.
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
River Plate Res.
18
Lanús Res.
34
Defence
River Plate Res.
66
Lanús Res.
27
Momentum
River Plate Res.
17
Lanús Res.
0
Danger (xG)
River Plate Res.
0.45
Lanús Res.
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (River Plate Res.)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Lanús Res.)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (River Plate Res.)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Lanús Res.)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
River Plate Res.River Plate Res.
LDW
Lanús Res.Lanús Res.
LL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
River Plate Res.39%
Draw29%
Lanús Res.32%

River Plate Res. leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

River Plate Res. head into this in Reserve League fixture in mixed form (LD), while Lanús Res. arrive in mixed form (L). River Plate Res. have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Lanús Res. over 1 games.

The model rates River Plate Res.'s attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 Lanús Res. defence, and Lanús Res.'s attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 River Plate Res. backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

River Plate Res. have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Lanús Res. have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

River Plate Res. have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects River Plate Res. to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: River Plate Res. 3930%, Draw 2850%, Lanús Res. 3220%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

River Plate Res. 1Draws 00 Lanús Res.
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
27 Jun 2026
River Plate Res.
W31
Lanús Res.

Recent form

River Plate Res.

River Plate Res.

L
vs Racing Club Res.
10 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Boca Juniors Res.
5 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Lanús Res.
27 Jun 2026
31
Lanús Res.

Lanús Res.

L
@ Ferro 2
13 Jul 2026
12
L
@ River Plate Res.
27 Jun 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win River Plate Res. vs Lanús Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts River Plate Res. to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for River Plate Res. vs Lanús Res.?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in River Plate Res. vs Lanús Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in River Plate Res. vs Lanús Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more