GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

River Plate Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate Res. hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Reserve League, while River Plate Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

River Plate Res.

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

20.7%

River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

River Plate Res.DWLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.DDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
River Plate Res.Instituto Res.
45.3Attack34.8
72.0Defence62.1
57.3Form40.9
59.1Power48.5
1.14xG0.52
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