River Plate Res.vs
Aldosivi Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: River Plate Res. 1-0 Aldosivi Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
River Plate Res. 2-2 Aldosivi Res.
Original prediction
River Plate Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.8% | 58.4% | -13.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.2% | 24.8% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 8.98 | 10.0% | 16.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Projected Score
River Plate Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
River Plate Res.
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00